MLB Home Run Predictions Today

Model-ranked anytime home-run picks for today's slate — which hitters are most likely to go deep, with park and pitching-matchup context.

#PlayerMatchupModelTierParkPitcher
1 Shohei Ohtani LAD vs MIL 27.0% Elite Target 1.17 Dustin May
2 Junior Caminero TB vs CLE 23.0% Elite Target 0.82 Gavin Williams
3 Jackson Chourio MIL vs LAD 21.5% Elite Target 1.30 Tyler Glasnow
4 Will Smith LAD vs MIL 21.5% Elite Target 1.30 Dustin May
5 Mookie Betts LAD vs MIL 21.3% Elite Target 1.30 Dustin May
6 Max Muncy LAD vs MIL 20.9% Elite Target 1.17 Dustin May
7 Jake Bauers MIL vs LAD 20.5% Target 1.17 Tyler Glasnow
8 Andy Pages LAD vs MIL 20.3% Target 1.30 Dustin May
9 Brice Turang MIL vs LAD 17.2% Target 1.17 Tyler Glasnow
10 Teoscar Hernandez LAD vs MIL 16.9% Target 1.30 Dustin May
11 Travis Bazzana CLE vs TB 16.1% Target 1.02 Griffin Jax
12 Christian Yelich MIL vs LAD 16.0% Target 1.17 Tyler Glasnow
13 Victor Mesa Jr. TB vs CLE 15.6% Neutral 1.02 Gavin Williams
14 Freddie Freeman LAD vs MIL 15.1% Neutral 1.17 Dustin May
15 Chase DeLauter CLE vs TB 14.0% Neutral 1.02 Griffin Jax
16 Enrique Hernandez LAD vs MIL 13.9% Neutral 1.30 Dustin May
17 Jonathan Aranda TB vs CLE 13.2% Neutral 1.02 Gavin Williams
18 William Contreras MIL vs LAD 12.7% Neutral 1.30 Tyler Glasnow
19 Jose Ramirez CLE vs TB 12.6% Neutral 1.02 Griffin Jax
20 Jonny DeLuca TB vs CLE 12.4% Neutral 0.82 Gavin Williams
21 Kyle Tucker LAD vs MIL 11.6% Neutral 1.17 Dustin May
22 Nathaniel Lowe CLE vs TB 11.6% Neutral 1.02 Griffin Jax
23 Patrick Bailey CLE vs TB 11.3% Neutral 1.02 Griffin Jax
24 Jo Adell CLE vs TB 11.0% Neutral 0.82 Griffin Jax
25 Yandy Diaz TB vs CLE 10.9% Neutral 0.82 Gavin Williams

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