Brian Thomas Jr. — NFL Wide Receiver Props & Matchup

Jacksonville Jaguars Wide Receiver Week 1 vs Browns

Brian Thomas Jr. player props for Week 1 — Jaguars vs Browns, Sun 1:00 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Browns defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Brian Thomas Jr. on ParlayBuilder.

Brian Thomas Jr. Week 1 Props vs Browns

  • Anytime TD +260 DK +265 · Caesars +250 · BetMGM +230 scored in 3 of his last 10 games 4 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +2700

    The Browns ranked 21st of 32 against wide receivers in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

    23% model probability that Brian Thomas Jr. scores a touchdown against the Browns.

  • Rec Yards o36.5 -114 / u -114 DK -109 cleared 36.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 10 games 10 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Browns ranked 6th of 32 against wide receivers in receiving yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

  • Receptions o2.5 -172 / u +128 DK -149 · Caesars -159 cleared 2.5 receptions in 7 of his last 10 games 10 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Browns ranked 9th of 32 against wide receivers in receptions allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

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Brian Thomas Jr. 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 91 targets · 48 receptions · 707 receiving yards (50.5 per game) · 2 TD · long 46 · 3 carries for 21 yards (14 games)

Postseason 2025: 1 game, 21 receiving yards.

Brian Thomas Jr. drew 17% of his team's targets in 2025.

Home vs Away (2025)

SplitGamesReceiving yards per game
Home858.6
Away639.7

Brian Thomas Jr. averaged notably more receiving yards at home (58.6 per game) than away (39.7) in 2025.

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)

DateOppTgtRecRec YdsLongTD
Jan 11, 2026BUF2221181
Jan 4, 2026TEN5349220
Dec 28, 2025@IND7439170
Dec 21, 2025@DEN321890
Dec 14, 2025NYJ7466391
Dec 7, 2025IND6387390
Nov 30, 2025@TEN3228170
Nov 2, 2025@LV5355340

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