C.J. Stroud — NFL Quarterback Props & Matchup
Houston Texans Quarterback Week 1 vs Bills
C.J. Stroud player props for Week 1 — Texans vs Bills, Sun 1:00 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Bills defensive matchup. Build a parlay with C.J. Stroud on ParlayBuilder.
C.J. Stroud Week 1 Props vs Bills
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Anytime TD
The Bills ranked 22nd of 32 against quarterbacks in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).
13% model probability that C.J. Stroud scores a touchdown against the Bills.
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Pass TDs o1.5
The Bills ranked 14th of 32 against quarterbacks in passing touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).
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Pass Yards o218.5
The Bills ranked 2nd of 32 against quarterbacks in passing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).
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Rush Yards o10.5
The Bills ranked 17th of 32 against quarterbacks in rushing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).
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C.J. Stroud 2025 Season Stats & Usage
2025 regular season: 273/423 · 3041 passing yards (233.9 per game) · 19 TD · 8 INT · 48 carries for 209 yards and 1 rushing TD (13 starts, 14 games)
Postseason 2025: 2 games, 462 passing yards.
C.J. Stroud averaged 30 pass attempts per game in 2025.
Home vs Away (2025)
| Split | Games | Passing yards per game |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 7 | 207.6 |
| Away | 7 | 226.9 |
C.J. Stroud was about even home and away in 2025 (207.6 vs 226.9 passing yards per game).
Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)
| Date | Opp | Cmp-Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | @NE | 20-47 | 212 | 1 | 4 | 11 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | @PIT | 21-32 | 250 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | IND | 14-23 | 169 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Dec 27, 2025 | @LAC | 16-28 | 244 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | LV | 23-35 | 187 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | ARI | 22-29 | 260 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @KC | 15-31 | 203 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | @IND | 22-35 | 276 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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