Caleb Williams — NFL Quarterback Props & Matchup

Caleb Williams — NFL Quarterback Props & Matchup

Chicago Bears Quarterback Week 1 at Panthers

Caleb Williams player props for Week 1 — Bears at Panthers, Sun 1:00 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Panthers defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Caleb Williams on ParlayBuilder.

Caleb Williams Week 1 Props vs Panthers

• Anytime TD +370 DK +400 · Caesars +380 · BetMGM +340 has not scored in his last 10 games 4 of 21 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +4000

  The Panthers ranked 13th of 32 against quarterbacks in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

  20% model probability that Caleb Williams scores a touchdown against the Panthers.

• Pass TDs o1.5 -106 / u -125 DK -110 · Caesars -109 cleared 1.5 passing touchdowns in 8 of his last 10 games 11 of 21 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Panthers ranked 6th of 32 against quarterbacks in passing touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

• Pass Yards o226.5 -114 / u -114 cleared 226.5 passing yards in 6 of his last 10 games 10 of 21 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Panthers ranked 7th of 32 against quarterbacks in passing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

• Rush Yards o19.5 -114 / u -114 DK -113 · Caesars -121 cleared 19.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 10 games 10 of 21 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Panthers ranked 24th of 32 against quarterbacks in rushing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

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Caleb Williams 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 330/568 · 3942 passing yards (231.9 per game) · 27 TD · 7 INT · 77 carries for 388 yards and 3 rushing TD (17 starts)

Postseason 2025: 2 games, 618 passing yards.

Caleb Williams averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game in 2025.

Home vs Away (2025)

Caleb Williams was about even home and away in 2025 (230.4 vs 233.2 passing yards per game).

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)