Cole Kmet — NFL Tight End Props & Matchup

Cole Kmet — NFL Tight End Props & Matchup

Chicago Bears Tight End Week 1 at Panthers

Cole Kmet player props for Week 1 — Bears at Panthers, Sun 1:00 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Panthers defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Cole Kmet on ParlayBuilder.

Cole Kmet Week 1 Props vs Panthers

• Anytime TD +400 DK +390 · Caesars +400 · BetMGM +525 scored in 2 of his last 10 games 3 of 19 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +4500

  The Panthers ranked 20th of 32 against tight ends in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

  15% model probability that Cole Kmet scores a touchdown against the Panthers.

• Rec Yards o14.5 -114 / u -114 DK -124 cleared 14.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 10 games 12 of 19 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Panthers ranked 21st of 32 against tight ends in receiving yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

• Receptions o1.5 -138 / u +104 DK -139 · Caesars -134 cleared 1.5 receptions in 8 of his last 10 games 10 of 19 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Panthers ranked 12th of 32 against tight ends in receptions allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

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Cole Kmet 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 48 targets · 30 receptions · 347 receiving yards (21.7 per game) · 2 TD · long 31 (16 games)

Postseason 2025: 2 games, 31 receiving yards.

Cole Kmet drew 9% of his team's targets in 2025.

Home vs Away (2025)

Cole Kmet averaged notably more receiving yards away (28 per game) than at home (15.4) in 2025.

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)