Dalton Kincaid — NFL Tight End Props & Matchup

Dalton Kincaid — NFL Tight End Props & Matchup

Buffalo Bills Tight End Week 1 at Texans

Dalton Kincaid player props for Week 1 — Bills at Texans, Sun 1:00 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Texans defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Dalton Kincaid on ParlayBuilder.

Dalton Kincaid Week 1 Props vs Texans

• Anytime TD +320 DK +300 · Caesars +290 · BetMGM +240 scored in 4 of his last 10 games 7 of 15 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +3000

  The Texans ranked 25th of 32 against tight ends in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

  22% model probability that Dalton Kincaid scores a touchdown against the Texans.

• Rec Yards o38.5 -114 / u -114 cleared 38.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 10 games 7 of 15 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Texans ranked 6th of 32 against tight ends in receiving yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

• Receptions o3.5 -102 / u -130 DK +106 · Caesars +102 cleared 3.5 receptions in 4 of his last 10 games 7 of 15 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Texans ranked 16th of 32 against tight ends in receptions allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

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Dalton Kincaid 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 49 targets · 39 receptions · 571 receiving yards (47.6 per game) · 5 TD · long 47 (12 games)

Postseason 2025: 2 games, 111 receiving yards.

Dalton Kincaid drew 14% of his team's targets in 2025.

Home vs Away (2025)

Dalton Kincaid averaged notably more receiving yards at home (62.9 per game) than away (26.2) in 2025.

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)