David Montgomery — NFL Running Back Props & Matchup

Houston Texans Running Back Week 1 vs Bills

David Montgomery player props for Week 1 — Texans vs Bills, Sun 1:00 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Bills defensive matchup. Build a parlay with David Montgomery on ParlayBuilder.

David Montgomery Week 1 Props vs Bills

  • Anytime TD -120 DK -130 · Caesars -131 · BetMGM -110 scored in 4 of his last 10 games 7 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +550 · 3+ TDs +2700

    The Bills ranked 27th of 32 against running backs in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

    32% model probability that David Montgomery scores a touchdown against the Bills.

  • Rush Yards o53.5 -114 / u -114 cleared 53.5 rushing yards in 2 of his last 10 games 5 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Bills ranked 22nd of 32 against running backs in rushing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

  • Rec Yards o8.5 -114 / u -114 DK -119 cleared 8.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 10 games 11 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Bills ranked 8th of 32 against running backs in receiving yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

  • Receptions o1.5 -122 / u -108 DK -124 · Caesars -118 cleared 1.5 receptions in 4 of his last 10 games 7 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Bills ranked 10th of 32 against running backs in receptions allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

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David Montgomery 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 158 carries · 716 rushing yards (42.1 per game) · 8 rushing TD · 29 targets, 24 receptions, 192 receiving yards, 0 receiving TD (17 games)

David Montgomery took 35% of his team's carries in 2025.

Home vs Away (2025)

SplitGamesRushing yards per game
Home831.8
Away951.3

David Montgomery averaged notably more rushing yards away (51.3 per game) than at home (31.8) in 2025.

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)

DateOppCarRush YdsRush TDTgtRecRec Yds
Jan 4, 2026@CHI84201113
Dec 25, 2025@MIN102502215
Dec 21, 2025PIT4140000
Dec 14, 2025@LAR7321100
Dec 4, 2025DAL66011113
Nov 27, 2025GB83212216
Nov 23, 2025NYG51803319
Nov 16, 2025@PHI62701110

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