Dawson Knox — NFL Tight End Props & Matchup

Dawson Knox — NFL Tight End Props & Matchup

Buffalo Bills Tight End Week 1 at Texans

Dawson Knox player props for Week 1 — Bills at Texans, Sun 1:00 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Texans defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Dawson Knox on ParlayBuilder.

Dawson Knox Week 1 Props vs Texans

• Anytime TD +650 DK +650 · Caesars +575 · BetMGM +500 scored in 2 of his last 10 games 4 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +8000

  The Texans ranked 25th of 32 against tight ends in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

  16% model probability that Dawson Knox scores a touchdown against the Texans.

• Rec Yards o14.5 -114 / u -114 DK -114 cleared 14.5 receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 games 16 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Texans ranked 6th of 32 against tight ends in receiving yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

• Receptions o1.5 -114 / u -114 DK -112 · Caesars -117 cleared 1.5 receptions in 8 of his last 10 games 12 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Texans ranked 16th of 32 against tight ends in receptions allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

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Dawson Knox 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 49 targets · 36 receptions · 417 receiving yards (26.1 per game) · 4 TD · long 32 (16 of 17 games with a target)

Postseason 2025: 2 games, 62 receiving yards.

Dawson Knox drew 10% of his team's targets in 2025.

Home vs Away (2025)

Dawson Knox averaged notably more receiving yards at home (29.4 per game) than away (22.8) in 2025.

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)