Jaylen Warren — NFL Running Back Props & Matchup

Pittsburgh Steelers Running Back Week 7 at Saints

Jaylen Warren player props for Week 7 — Steelers at Saints, Sun 9:30 AM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2026 usage and the Saints defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Jaylen Warren on ParlayBuilder.

Jaylen Warren Week 7 Props vs Saints

  • Anytime TD -120 DK -115 · Caesars -118 · BetMGM -145 scored in 2 of his last 10 games 6 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +550 · 3+ TDs +3000

    The Saints ranked 32nd of 32 against running backs in touchdowns allowed in 2026 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

    36% model probability that Jaylen Warren scores a touchdown against the Saints.

  • Rush Yards o63.5 -114 / u -114 · BetMGM -115 cleared 63.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 10 games 6 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Saints ranked 25th of 32 against running backs in rushing yards allowed in 2026 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

  • Rec Yards o25.5 -114 / u -114 DK -112 · BetMGM -115 cleared 25.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 10 games 5 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Saints ranked 13th of 32 against running backs in receiving yards allowed in 2026 (opponent-adjusted).

  • Receptions o3.5 +134 / u -180 DK +130 · Caesars +143 · BetMGM +115 cleared 3.5 receptions in 3 of his last 10 games 4 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Saints ranked 8th of 32 against running backs in receptions allowed in 2026 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

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Jaylen Warren 2026 Season Stats & Usage

2026 season (through Oct 18): 84 carries · 460 rushing yards (76.7 per game) · 1 rushing TD · 30 targets, 21 receptions, 258 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD (6 games)

2025 regular season: 211 carries · 958 rushing yards (59.9 per game) · 6 rushing TD · 45 targets, 40 receptions, 333 receiving yards, 2 receiving TD (16 games)

Postseason 2025: 1 game, 43 rushing yards.

Jaylen Warren took 65% of his team's carries in 2026 — the lead back.

Recent Games (2025 season, including playoffs, through 2026)

DateOppCarRush YdsRush TDTgtRecRec Yds
Oct 18, 2026@TB145004228
Oct 11, 2026IND1510116687
Oct 1, 2026@CLE179306333
Sep 27, 2026CIN1712704349
Sep 20, 2026@NE114304234
Sep 13, 2026ATL104606527
Jan 12, 2026HOU12430114
Jan 4, 2026BAL146605533

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