Justin Herbert — NFL Quarterback Props & Matchup

Los Angeles Chargers Quarterback Week 1 vs Cardinals

Justin Herbert player props for Week 1 — Chargers vs Cardinals, Sun 4:25 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Cardinals defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Justin Herbert on ParlayBuilder.

Justin Herbert Week 1 Props vs Cardinals

  • Anytime TD +430 DK +400 · Caesars +400 · BetMGM +310 scored in 2 of his last 10 games 2 of 18 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +4500

    The Cardinals ranked 17th of 32 against quarterbacks in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

    16% model probability that Justin Herbert scores a touchdown against the Cardinals.

  • Pass TDs o2.5 +174 DK +189 · Caesars +136 cleared 2.5 passing touchdowns in 1 of his last 10 games 3 of 18 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Cardinals ranked 26th of 32 against quarterbacks in passing touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

  • Pass Yards o233.5 -114 / u -114 cleared 233.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 10 games 8 of 18 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Cardinals ranked 18th of 32 against quarterbacks in passing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

  • Rush Yards o21.5 -114 / u -114 DK -110 cleared 21.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 10 games 11 of 18 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Cardinals ranked 14th of 32 against quarterbacks in rushing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

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Justin Herbert 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 340/512 · 3727 passing yards (232.9 per game) · 26 TD · 13 INT · 83 carries for 498 yards and 2 rushing TD (16 starts)

Postseason 2025: 1 game, 159 passing yards.

Justin Herbert averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game in 2025.

Home vs Away (2025)

SplitGamesPassing yards per game
Home9241.9
Away7221.4

Justin Herbert was about even home and away in 2025 (241.9 vs 221.4 passing yards per game).

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)

DateOppCmp-AttPass YdsPass TDINTRush Yds
Jan 11, 2026@NE19-311590057
Dec 27, 2025HOU21-322361137
Dec 21, 2025@DAL23-293002042
Dec 14, 2025@KC19-29210110
Dec 8, 2025PHI12-261391166
Nov 30, 2025LV15-20151218
Nov 16, 2025@JAX10-18810121
Nov 9, 2025PIT20-332201019

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