Justin Jefferson — NFL Wide Receiver Props & Matchup

Justin Jefferson — NFL Wide Receiver Props & Matchup

Minnesota Vikings Wide Receiver Week 1 vs Packers

Justin Jefferson player props for Week 1 — Vikings vs Packers, Sun 4:25 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Packers defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Justin Jefferson on ParlayBuilder.

Justin Jefferson Week 1 Props vs Packers

• Anytime TD +165 DK +165 · Caesars +158 · BetMGM +130 scored in 1 of his last 10 games 2 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +1300 · 3+ TDs +10000

  The Packers ranked 31st of 32 against wide receivers in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

  19% model probability that Justin Jefferson scores a touchdown against the Packers.

• Rec Yards o73.5 -114 / u -114 cleared 73.5 receiving yards in 2 of his last 10 games 8 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Packers ranked 19th of 32 against wide receivers in receiving yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

• Receptions o5.5 -148 / u +112 DK -146 · Caesars -145 cleared 5.5 receptions in 3 of his last 10 games 6 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Packers ranked 17th of 32 against wide receivers in receptions allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

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Justin Jefferson 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 141 targets · 84 receptions · 1048 receiving yards (61.6 per game) · 2 TD · long 50 · 2 carries for 7 yards (17 games)

Justin Jefferson drew 31% of his team's targets in 2025 — the team's primary target.

Home vs Away (2025)

Justin Jefferson was about even home and away in 2025 (59.4 vs 63.7 receiving yards per game).

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)