Kenneth Gainwell — NFL Running Back Props & Matchup

Pittsburgh Steelers Running Back Week 1 vs Falcons

Kenneth Gainwell player props for Week 1 — Steelers vs Falcons, Sun 1:00 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Falcons defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Kenneth Gainwell on ParlayBuilder.

Kenneth Gainwell Week 1 Props vs Falcons

  • Anytime TD +250 DK +235 · Caesars +210 · BetMGM +165 scored in 4 of his last 10 games 6 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +2200

    The Falcons ranked 6th of 32 against running backs in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

    32% model probability that Kenneth Gainwell scores a touchdown against the Falcons.

  • Rush Yards o21.5 -114 / u -114 cleared 21.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 10 games 8 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Falcons ranked 20th of 32 against running backs in rushing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

  • Rec Yards o20.5 -114 / u -114 cleared 20.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 10 games 10 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Falcons ranked 22nd of 32 against running backs in receiving yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

  • Receptions o3.5 +116 / u -154 DK +127 · Caesars +116 cleared 3.5 receptions in 7 of his last 10 games 10 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Falcons ranked 18th of 32 against running backs in receptions allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

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Kenneth Gainwell 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 114 carries · 537 rushing yards (31.6 per game) · 5 rushing TD · 85 targets, 73 receptions, 486 receiving yards, 3 receiving TD (17 games)

Postseason 2025: 1 game, 20 rushing yards.

Kenneth Gainwell took 25% of his team's carries in 2025.

Home vs Away (2025)

SplitGamesRushing yards per game
Home933.9
Away829.0

Kenneth Gainwell was about even home and away in 2025 (33.9 vs 29 rushing yards per game).

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)

DateOppCarRush YdsRush TDTgtRecRec Yds
Jan 12, 2026HOU62006426
Jan 4, 2026BAL51019864
Dec 28, 2025@CLE72604312
Dec 21, 2025@DET95007578
Dec 15, 2025MIA138007746
Dec 7, 2025@BAL41517627
Nov 30, 2025BUF52003225
Nov 23, 2025@CHI109206630

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