Kenneth Walker III — NFL Running Back Props & Matchup

Kenneth Walker III — NFL Running Back Props & Matchup

Kansas City Chiefs Running Back Week 1 vs Broncos

Kenneth Walker III player props for Week 1 — Chiefs vs Broncos, Mon 8:15 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Broncos defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Kenneth Walker III on ParlayBuilder.

Kenneth Walker III Week 1 Props vs Broncos

• Anytime TD -120 DK -120 · Caesars -125 · BetMGM -110 scored in 3 of his last 10 games 6 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +500 · 3+ TDs +2700

  The Broncos ranked 22nd of 32 against running backs in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

  22% model probability that Kenneth Walker III scores a touchdown against the Broncos.

• Rush Yards o59.5 -114 / u -114 DK -138 · Caesars -136 cleared 59.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 10 games 12 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Broncos ranked 5th of 32 against running backs in rushing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

• Rec Yards o15.5 -114 / u -114 DK -115 cleared 15.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 10 games 10 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Broncos ranked 4th of 32 against running backs in receiving yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

• Receptions o2.5 -122 / u -108 DK -145 · Caesars -132 cleared 2.5 receptions in 6 of his last 10 games 8 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Broncos ranked 7th of 32 against running backs in receptions allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

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Kenneth Walker III 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 221 carries · 1027 rushing yards (60.4 per game) · 5 rushing TD · 37 targets, 32 receptions, 295 receiving yards, 0 receiving TD (17 games)

Postseason 2025: 3 games, 313 rushing yards.

Kenneth Walker III took 48% of his team's carries in 2025.

Home vs Away (2025)

Kenneth Walker III was about even home and away in 2025 (56.2 vs 64.1 rushing yards per game).

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)