Patrick Mahomes — NFL Quarterback Props & Matchup

Patrick Mahomes — NFL Quarterback Props & Matchup

Kansas City Chiefs Quarterback Week 1 vs Broncos

Patrick Mahomes player props for Week 1 — Chiefs vs Broncos, Mon 8:15 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Broncos defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Patrick Mahomes on ParlayBuilder.

Patrick Mahomes Week 1 Props vs Broncos

• Anytime TD +650 DK +600 · Caesars +575 · BetMGM +475 scored in 3 of his last 10 games 5 of 16 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +8000

  The Broncos ranked 14th of 32 against quarterbacks in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

  18% model probability that Patrick Mahomes scores a touchdown against the Broncos.

• Pass TDs o1.5 +116 / u -154 DK +105 · Caesars +110 cleared 1.5 passing touchdowns in 4 of his last 10 games 5 of 16 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Broncos ranked 9th of 32 against quarterbacks in passing touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

• Pass Yards o225.5 -114 / u -114 cleared 225.5 passing yards in 8 of his last 10 games 10 of 16 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Broncos ranked 13th of 32 against quarterbacks in passing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

• Rush Yards o15.5 -114 / u -114 DK -110 cleared 15.5 rushing yards in 7 of his last 10 games 10 of 16 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

  The Broncos ranked 21st of 32 against quarterbacks in rushing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

Build a parlay with Patrick Mahomes →

Patrick Mahomes 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 315/502 · 3587 passing yards (256.2 per game) · 22 TD · 11 INT · 64 carries for 422 yards and 5 rushing TD (14 starts)

Patrick Mahomes averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game in 2025.

Home vs Away (2025)

Patrick Mahomes was about even home and away in 2025 (250 vs 264.5 passing yards per game).

Listed Questionable on the injury report (designations through Sep 8).

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)