Rico Dowdle — NFL Running Back Props & Matchup

Pittsburgh Steelers Running Back Week 1 vs Falcons

Rico Dowdle player props for Week 1 — Steelers vs Falcons, Sun 1:00 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Falcons defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Rico Dowdle on ParlayBuilder.

Rico Dowdle Week 1 Props vs Falcons

  • Anytime TD +125 DK +135 · Caesars +128 · BetMGM +100 scored in 3 of his last 10 games 6 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +950 · 3+ TDs +5500

    The Falcons ranked 6th of 32 against running backs in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

    33% model probability that Rico Dowdle scores a touchdown against the Falcons.

  • Rush Yards o42.5 -114 / u -114 DK -112 cleared 42.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 10 games 10 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Falcons ranked 20th of 32 against running backs in rushing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

  • Rec Yards o10.5 -114 / u -114 DK -107 cleared 10.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 10 games 11 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Falcons ranked 22nd of 32 against running backs in receiving yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

  • Receptions o1.5 -148 / u +112 DK -135 · Caesars -143 cleared 1.5 receptions in 8 of his last 10 games 11 of 20 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Falcons ranked 18th of 32 against running backs in receptions allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

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Rico Dowdle 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 236 carries · 1076 rushing yards (63.3 per game) · 6 rushing TD · 50 targets, 39 receptions, 297 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD (17 games)

Postseason 2025: 1 game, 9 rushing yards.

Rico Dowdle took 46% of his team's carries in 2025.

Home vs Away (2025)

SplitGamesRushing yards per game
Home884.0
Away944.9

Rico Dowdle averaged notably more rushing yards at home (84 per game) than away (44.9) in 2025.

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)

DateOppCarRush YdsRush TDTgtRecRec Yds
Jan 10, 2026LAR590216
Jan 3, 2026@TB71002220
Dec 28, 2025SEA12590534
Dec 21, 2025TB92906414
Dec 14, 2025@NO16491115
Nov 30, 2025LAR185802221
Nov 24, 2025@SF63804436
Nov 16, 2025@ATL194507555

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