Saquon Barkley — NFL Running Back Props & Matchup

Philadelphia Eagles Running Back Week 1 vs Commanders

Saquon Barkley player props for Week 1 — Eagles vs Commanders, Sun 4:25 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Commanders defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Saquon Barkley on ParlayBuilder.

Saquon Barkley Week 1 Props vs Commanders

  • Anytime TD -125 DK -135 · Caesars -140 · BetMGM -140 scored in 4 of his last 10 games 8 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason) 2+ TDs +500 · 3+ TDs +3000

    The Commanders ranked 30th of 32 against running backs in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

    46% model probability that Saquon Barkley scores a touchdown against the Commanders.

  • Rush Yards o75.5 -114 / u -114 cleared 75.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 10 games 7 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Commanders ranked 32nd of 32 against running backs in rushing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

  • Rec Yards o15.5 -114 / u -114 cleared 15.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 10 games 7 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Commanders ranked 20th of 32 against running backs in receiving yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

  • Receptions o2.5 -102 / u -130 DK -116 · Caesars +100 cleared 2.5 receptions in 4 of his last 10 games 8 of 17 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Commanders ranked 6th of 32 against running backs in receptions allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

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Saquon Barkley 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 280 carries · 1140 rushing yards (71.2 per game) · 7 rushing TD · 50 targets, 37 receptions, 273 receiving yards, 2 receiving TD (16 games)

Postseason 2025: 1 game, 106 rushing yards.

Saquon Barkley took 63% of his team's carries in 2025 — the lead back.

Home vs Away (2025)

SplitGamesRushing yards per game
Home771.9
Away970.8

Saquon Barkley was about even home and away in 2025 (71.9 vs 70.8 rushing yards per game).

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)

DateOppCarRush YdsRush TDTgtRecRec Yds
Jan 11, 2026SF2610606325
Dec 28, 2025@BUF19680000
Dec 20, 2025@WSH211321200
Dec 14, 2025LV227813214
Dec 8, 2025@LAC201221200
Nov 28, 2025CHI13560200
Nov 23, 2025@DAL102208752
Nov 16, 2025DET26830217

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