Tua Tagovailoa — NFL Quarterback Props & Matchup

Atlanta Falcons Quarterback Week 1 at Steelers

Tua Tagovailoa player props for Week 1 — Falcons at Steelers, Sun 1:00 PM ET: FanDuel lines with DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM prices, hit rates at this week's numbers, 2025 usage and the Steelers defensive matchup. Build a parlay with Tua Tagovailoa on ParlayBuilder.

Tua Tagovailoa Week 1 Props vs Steelers

  • Anytime TD +2200 DK +1800 · Caesars +2000 · BetMGM +1900 has not scored in his last 10 games none of 16 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Steelers ranked 21st of 32 against quarterbacks in touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted).

    6% model probability that Tua Tagovailoa scores a touchdown against the Steelers.

  • Pass TDs o1.5 +194 DK +216 · Caesars +179 cleared 1.5 passing touchdowns in 4 of his last 10 games 7 of 16 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Steelers ranked 29th of 32 against quarterbacks in passing touchdowns allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

  • Pass Yards o210.5 -114 / u -114 cleared 210.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 10 games 4 of 16 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Steelers ranked 30th of 32 against quarterbacks in passing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the more generous defenses).

  • Rush Yards o1.5 -114 / u -114 DK -107 cleared 1.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 10 games 7 of 16 games in 2025 (incl. postseason)

    The Steelers ranked 5th of 32 against quarterbacks in rushing yards allowed in 2025 (opponent-adjusted; one of the tougher defenses).

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Tua Tagovailoa 2025 Season Stats & Usage

2025 regular season: 260/384 · 2660 passing yards (190.0 per game) · 20 TD · 15 INT · 20 carries for 43 yards and 0 rushing TD (14 starts)

Tua Tagovailoa averaged 24.9 pass attempts per game in 2025.

Home vs Away (2025)

SplitGamesPassing yards per game
Home7208.4
Away7171.6

Tua Tagovailoa averaged notably more passing yards at home (208.4 per game) than away (171.6) in 2025.

Recent Games (through the 2025 season, including playoffs)

DateOppCmp-AttPass YdsPass TDINTRush Yds
Dec 15, 2025@PIT22-28253211
Dec 7, 2025@NYJ13-21127100
Nov 30, 2025NO12-23157014
Nov 16, 2025WSH14-20171000
Nov 9, 2025BUF15-2117322-1
Oct 30, 2025BAL25-40261011
Oct 26, 2025@ATL20-26205400
Oct 19, 2025@CLE12-23100036

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