Broncos vs Chiefs — Week 1 NFL Player Props & Matchup

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs · Monday, September 14, 2026 · Mon 8:15 PM ET · Week 1 · 2026 season

Player props, odds and matchup context for Broncos at Chiefs in Week 1: both teams' FanDuel lines with hit rates at this week's numbers, spread, total and moneyline, injury designations, 2025 offensive pace, the defense-vs-position matchup, key players — build a Broncos vs Chiefs same-game parlay on ParlayBuilder.

Kickoff & Odds

TeamSpreadMoneyline
Denver Broncos +2.5 (-105) +122
Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 (-115) -144

Total: 43.5 (over -110 / under -110)

Broncos vs Chiefs Player Props (Week 1)

FanDuel main lines. "Last 10" counts past games that would have cleared this week's line; the 2025 column is the same count over that season including playoffs. Opponent rank: 1 = toughest of 32 against that position and market, 2025 season, opponent-adjusted.

Broncos player props

PlayerPosMarketLineOver / UnderLast 102025ModelOpp rank
Bo NixQBPass TDs1.5+142 / -1923/107/205th
Bo NixQBPass Yards227.5-114 / -1145/109/2010th
Bo NixQBRush Yards15.5-114 / -1145/1011/208th
Bo NixQBAnytime TD+6002/104/2019% to score23rd
J.K. DobbinsRBAnytime TD+1804/104/1128% to score13th
J.K. DobbinsRBRush Yards49.5-114 / -1149/109/1112th
RJ HarveyRBAnytime TD+2705/1010/2236% to score13th
RJ HarveyRBRush Yards18.5-114 / -1149/1013/2212th
RJ HarveyRBRec Yards16.5-114 / -1147/1011/2215th
J.K. DobbinsRBRec Yards3.5-114 / -1146/107/1115th
Tyler BadieRBAnytime TD+7500/100/216% to score13th
RJ HarveyRBReceptions2.5-114 / -1147/1012/2213th
Jonah ColemanRBAnytime TD+75013th
Jaylen WaddleWRAnytime TD+2003/106/1724% to score4th
Jaylen WaddleWRRec Yards53.5-114 / -1144/107/178th
Courtland SuttonWRAnytime TD+2304/109/2126% to score4th
Courtland SuttonWRRec Yards42.5-114 / -1146/1013/218th
Troy FranklinWRAnytime TD+12002/106/2123% to score4th
Marvin Mims JrWRAnytime TD+11001/103/1914% to score4th
Pat BryantWRAnytime TD+4001/101/2011% to score4th
Pat BryantWRRec Yards23.5-114 / -1148/109/208th
Lil'Jordan HumphreyWRAnytime TD+12002/103/1511% to score4th
Courtland SuttonWRReceptions4.5+124 / -1664/109/2112th
Jaylen WaddleWRReceptions4.5-114 / -1145/109/1712th
Pat BryantWRReceptions2.5+120 / -1606/107/2012th
Evan EngramTEAnytime TD+4600/101/2014% to score8th
Evan EngramTERec Yards22.5-114 / -1144/1010/2010th
Evan EngramTEReceptions2.5-130 / -1024/1010/208th
Adam TrautmanTEAnytime TD+7000/101/207% to score8th
Adam TrautmanTERec Yards8.5-114 / -1144/108/2010th

Chiefs player props

PlayerPosMarketLineOver / UnderLast 102025ModelOpp rank
Patrick MahomesQBPass TDs1.5+116 / -1544/105/169th
Patrick MahomesQBPass Yards225.5-114 / -1148/1010/1613th
Patrick MahomesQBRush Yards15.5-114 / -1147/1010/1621st
Patrick MahomesQBAnytime TD+6503/105/1618% to score14th
Kenneth Walker IIIRBAnytime TD-1203/106/2022% to score22nd
Kenneth Walker IIIRBRush Yards59.5-114 / -1146/1012/205th
Brashard SmithRBAnytime TD+10001/101/209% to score22nd
Kenneth Walker IIIRBRec Yards15.5-114 / -1147/1010/204th
Kenneth Walker IIIRBReceptions2.5-122 / -1086/108/207th
Emmett JohnsonRBAnytime TD+55022nd
Rashee RiceWRAnytime TD+1455/105/931% to score3rd
Rashee RiceWRRec Yards59.5-114 / -1144/104/912th
Xavier WorthyWRAnytime TD+3200/101/1514% to score3rd
Xavier WorthyWRRec Yards36.5-114 / -1145/107/1512th
Rashee RiceWRReceptions5.5-122 / -1086/106/920th
Tyquan ThorntonWRAnytime TD+6000/103/1711% to score3rd
Tyquan ThorntonWRRec Yards19.5-114 / -1144/108/1712th
Xavier WorthyWRReceptions3.5+116 / -1543/105/1520th
Jalen RoyalsWRAnytime TD+9000/90/95% to score3rd
Tyquan ThorntonWRReceptions1.5+106 / -1403/106/1720th
Cyrus AllenWRAnytime TD+9003rd
Nikko RemigioWRAnytime TD+19003rd
Travis KelceTEAnytime TD+1953/105/1821% to score16th
Travis KelceTERec Yards41.5-114 / -1146/1012/1819th
Noah GrayTEAnytime TD+10000/100/178% to score16th
Noah GrayTERec Yards9.5-114 / -1145/107/1719th
Travis KelceTEReceptions3.5-148 / +1127/1012/1825th
Jared WileyTEAnytime TD+16000/100/84% to score16th
Noah GrayTEReceptions1.5+130 / -1744/106/1725th
Jake BriningstoolTEAnytime TD+160016th

Injury Designations (through Sep 8)

Broncos

  • Drew Sanders LB · IR
  • Levelle Bailey LB · IR
  • Matt Henningsen DE · IR
  • Michael Deiter C · IR
  • Nick Gargiulo G · PUP-R
  • Caleb Lohner TE · IR-R
  • Frank Crum OT · IR-R

Chiefs

  • Ethan Downs LB · IR
  • Jeff Caldwell WR · IR
  • Jimmy Holiday WR · IR
  • John Michael Gyllenborg TE · IR
  • Matt Waletzko OT · IR
  • Omarr Norman-Lott DT · PUP-R
  • Patrick Mahomes QB · Questionable

Offensive Profile (2025 season, through Week 18)

Per gameBroncosChiefs
Plays per game62.3 (4)59.6 (16)
Pass rate57.9% (5)57.6% (6)
Yards per game347.4338.1
Yards per play5.65.7
Pass attempts36.1 (4)34.4 (7)
Rush attempts26.2 (20)25.2 (25)
Targets per game33.6 (5)32.3 (9)
Offensive TDs2.5 (14)2.2 (20)

Ranks in parentheses are of 32 teams.

Defensive Matchup (2025 season, opponent-adjusted)

Rank 1 = toughest of 32 against that position and market, through Week 18.

Broncos defense

  • vs quarterbacks: 13th in passing yards allowed, 9th in passing touchdowns allowed (one of the tougher), 19th in interceptions forced, 21st in rushing yards allowed, 14th in touchdowns allowed
  • vs running backs: 5th in rushing yards allowed (one of the tougher), 7th in receptions allowed (one of the tougher), 4th in receiving yards allowed (one of the tougher), 22nd in touchdowns allowed (one of the more generous)
  • vs wide receivers: 12th in receiving yards allowed, 20th in receptions allowed, 3rd in touchdowns allowed (one of the tougher)
  • vs tight ends: 19th in receiving yards allowed, 25th in receptions allowed (one of the more generous), 16th in touchdowns allowed

Chiefs defense

  • vs quarterbacks: 10th in passing yards allowed (one of the tougher), 5th in passing touchdowns allowed (one of the tougher), 23rd in interceptions forced (one of the more generous), 8th in rushing yards allowed (one of the tougher), 23rd in touchdowns allowed (one of the more generous)
  • vs running backs: 12th in rushing yards allowed, 13th in receptions allowed, 15th in receiving yards allowed, 13th in touchdowns allowed
  • vs wide receivers: 8th in receiving yards allowed (one of the tougher), 12th in receptions allowed, 4th in touchdowns allowed (one of the tougher)
  • vs tight ends: 10th in receiving yards allowed (one of the tougher), 8th in receptions allowed (one of the tougher), 8th in touchdowns allowed (one of the tougher)

Full defense-vs-position rankings →

Key Players

Broncos

  • Bo Nix QB · 3931 pass yds, 25 TD, 11 INT (2025, 17 games)
  • RJ Harvey RB · 540 rush yds, 7 TD, 47 rec (2025, 17 games)
  • J.K. Dobbins RB · 772 rush yds, 4 TD, 11 rec (2025, 10 games)
  • Courtland Sutton WR · 74 rec, 1017 yds, 7 TD (2025, 17 games)
  • Troy Franklin WR · 65 rec, 709 yds, 6 TD (2025, 17 games)
  • Jaylen Waddle WR · 64 rec, 910 yds, 6 TD (2025, 16 games)
  • Evan Engram TE · 50 rec, 461 yds, 1 TD (2025, 16 games)

Chiefs

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