Falcons vs Steelers — Week 1 NFL Player Props & Matchup

Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · Sun 1:00 PM ET · Week 1 · 2026 season

Player props, odds and matchup context for Falcons at Steelers in Week 1: both teams' FanDuel lines with hit rates at this week's numbers, spread, total and moneyline, injury designations, 2025 offensive pace, the defense-vs-position matchup, key players — build a Falcons vs Steelers same-game parlay on ParlayBuilder.

Kickoff & Odds

TeamSpreadMoneyline
Atlanta Falcons +3.5 (-118) +150
Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 (-104) -178

Total: 41.5 (over -115 / under -105)

Falcons vs Steelers Player Props (Week 1)

FanDuel main lines. "Last 10" counts past games that would have cleared this week's line; the 2025 column is the same count over that season including playoffs. Opponent rank: 1 = toughest of 32 against that position and market, 2025 season, opponent-adjusted.

Falcons player props

PlayerPosMarketLineOver / UnderLast 102025ModelOpp rank
Tua TagovailoaQBPass TDs1.5+1944/107/1629th
Tua TagovailoaQBPass Yards210.5-114 / -1143/104/1630th
Tua TagovailoaQBRush Yards1.5-114 / -1144/107/165th
Tua TagovailoaQBAnytime TD+22000/100/166% to score21st
Bijan RobinsonRBAnytime TD-1705/109/1739% to score1st
Bijan RobinsonRBRush Yards76.5-114 / -1146/108/1711th
Bijan RobinsonRBRec Yards37.5-114 / -1145/1010/1712th
Brian Robinson Jr.RBAnytime TD+3401/102/1913% to score1st
Bijan RobinsonRBReceptions4.5+106 / -1405/109/1720th
Drake LondonWRAnytime TD+2205/105/1232% to score29th
Drake LondonWRRec Yards64.5-114 / -1146/106/1228th
Chris BlairWRAnytime TD+20002/1029th
Olamide ZaccheausWRAnytime TD+7002/104/2014% to score29th
Drake LondonWRReceptions5.5-125 / -1065/106/1226th
Jahan DotsonWRAnytime TD+5500/101/198% to score29th
Jahan DotsonWRRec Yards18.5-114 / -1142/106/1928th
Jahan DotsonWRReceptions1.5-172 / +1283/105/1926th
Zachariah BranchWRAnytime TD+70029th
Kyle PittsTEAnytime TD+3102/103/1723% to score26th
Kyle PittsTERec Yards43.5-114 / -1145/109/1729th
Kyle PittsTEReceptions4.5+100 / -1325/109/1731st
Austin HooperTEAnytime TD+9001/102/218% to score26th
Charlie WoernerTEAnytime TD+22000/100/174% to score26th

Steelers player props

PlayerPosMarketLineOver / UnderLast 102025ModelOpp rank
Aaron RodgersQBPass TDs1.5+118 / -1581/106/1720th
Aaron RodgersQBPass Yards210.5-114 / -1144/108/1719th
Aaron RodgersQBRush Yards0.5-114 / -1144/109/1726th
Aaron RodgersQBAnytime TD+15001/101/178% to score19th
Jaylen WarrenRBAnytime TD+1254/106/1836% to score6th
Jaylen WarrenRBRush Yards43.5-114 / -1146/1011/1820th
Rico DowdleRBAnytime TD+1253/106/2033% to score6th
Rico DowdleRBRush Yards42.5-114 / -1146/1010/2020th
Kenneth GainwellRBAnytime TD+2504/106/2032% to score6th
Kenneth GainwellRBRush Yards21.5-114 / -1145/108/2020th
Kenneth GainwellRBRec Yards20.5-114 / -1148/1010/2022nd
Rico DowdleRBRec Yards10.5-114 / -1146/1011/2022nd
Jaylen WarrenRBRec Yards15.5-114 / -1143/107/1822nd
Kenneth GainwellRBReceptions3.5+116 / -1547/1010/2018th
Jaylen WarrenRBReceptions2.5-114 / -1143/106/1818th
Rico DowdleRBReceptions1.5-148 / +1128/1011/2018th
Eli HeidenreichRBAnytime TD+14006th
DK MetcalfWRAnytime TD+1903/107/1629% to score30th
DK MetcalfWRRec Yards48.5-114 / -1144/108/1620th
Michael Pittman JrWRAnytime TD+2102/107/1828% to score30th
Michael Pittman JrWRRec Yards38.5-114 / -1143/109/1820th
DK MetcalfWRReceptions3.5-136 / +1025/108/1616th
Michael Pittman JrWRReceptions4.5+1184/109/1816th
Roman WilsonWRAnytime TD+5502/102/1610% to score30th
Ben SkowronekWRAnytime TD+11000/101/194% to score30th
Germie BernardWRAnytime TD+55030th
Kaden WetjenWRAnytime TD+110030th
Pat FreiermuthTEAnytime TD+3601/103/1917% to score7th
Pat FreiermuthTERec Yards25.5-114 / -1144/108/1924th
Darnell WashingtonTEAnytime TD+5500/102/1712% to score7th

Injury Designations (through Sep 8)

Falcons

  • Darren Hall CB · IR
  • JD Bertrand LB · IR
  • Jalon Walker LB · IR
  • Keshawn Banks DE · IR
  • Malik Verdon LB · IR
  • Trey Sermon RB · IR
  • James Pearce Jr. LB · Reserve-Sus
  • DeAngelo Malone LB · PUP-R
  • Storm Norton OT · PUP-R
  • Anterio Thompson DT · NFI-R
  • Beaux Collins WR · IR-R

Steelers

  • Cole Burgess WR · IR
  • Daequan Hardy CB · IR
  • Logan Lee DT · IR
  • Donte Kent CB · PUP-R
  • DeShon Elliott S · IR-R
  • Jack Driscoll OT · IR-R

Offensive Profile (2025 season, through Week 18)

Per gameFalconsSteelers
Plays per game60.2 (13)56.3 (24)
Pass rate53.3% (20)57.5% (8)
Yards per game343.2316.9
Yards per play5.75.6
Pass attempts32.1 (19)32.4 (17)
Rush attempts28.1 (10)23.9 (28)
Targets per game30.6 (18)30.6 (19)
Offensive TDs2.1 (22)2.5 (17)

Ranks in parentheses are of 32 teams.

Defensive Matchup (2025 season, opponent-adjusted)

Rank 1 = toughest of 32 against that position and market, through Week 18.

Falcons defense

  • vs quarterbacks: 19th in passing yards allowed, 20th in passing touchdowns allowed, 4th in interceptions forced (one of the tougher), 26th in rushing yards allowed (one of the more generous), 19th in touchdowns allowed
  • vs running backs: 20th in rushing yards allowed, 18th in receptions allowed, 22nd in receiving yards allowed (one of the more generous), 6th in touchdowns allowed (one of the tougher)
  • vs wide receivers: 20th in receiving yards allowed, 16th in receptions allowed, 30th in touchdowns allowed (one of the more generous)
  • vs tight ends: 24th in receiving yards allowed (one of the more generous), 11th in receptions allowed, 7th in touchdowns allowed (one of the tougher)

Steelers defense

  • vs quarterbacks: 30th in passing yards allowed (one of the more generous), 29th in passing touchdowns allowed (one of the more generous), 9th in interceptions forced (one of the tougher), 5th in rushing yards allowed (one of the tougher), 21st in touchdowns allowed
  • vs running backs: 11th in rushing yards allowed, 20th in receptions allowed, 12th in receiving yards allowed, 1st in touchdowns allowed (one of the tougher)
  • vs wide receivers: 28th in receiving yards allowed (one of the more generous), 26th in receptions allowed (one of the more generous), 29th in touchdowns allowed (one of the more generous)
  • vs tight ends: 29th in receiving yards allowed (one of the more generous), 31st in receptions allowed (one of the more generous), 26th in touchdowns allowed (one of the more generous)

Full defense-vs-position rankings →

Key Players

Falcons

Steelers

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