Bills vs Texans — Week 1 NFL Player Props & Matchup

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · Sun 1:00 PM ET · Week 1 · 2026 season

Player props, odds and matchup context for Bills at Texans in Week 1: both teams' FanDuel lines with hit rates at this week's numbers, spread, total and moneyline, injury designations, 2025 offensive pace, the defense-vs-position matchup, key players — build a Bills vs Texans same-game parlay on ParlayBuilder.

Kickoff & Odds

TeamSpreadMoneyline
Buffalo Bills -1.5 (-106) -120
Houston Texans +1.5 (-114) +102

Total: 44.5 (over -112 / under -108)

Bills vs Texans Player Props (Week 1)

FanDuel main lines. "Last 10" counts past games that would have cleared this week's line; the 2025 column is the same count over that season including playoffs. Opponent rank: 1 = toughest of 32 against that position and market, 2025 season, opponent-adjusted.

Bills player props

PlayerPosMarketLineOver / UnderLast 102025ModelOpp rank
Josh AllenQBPass TDs1.5+1544/1010/1915th
Josh AllenQBPass Yards220.5-114 / -1146/1010/1914th
Josh AllenQBRush Yards30.5-114 / -1146/1011/1927th
Josh AllenQBAnytime TD+1205/109/1938% to score6th
James CookRBAnytime TD-1054/109/1949% to score12th
James CookRBRush Yards74.5-114 / -1146/1012/194th
Ray DavisRBAnytime TD+4701/102/2113% to score12th
James CookRBRec Yards14.5-114 / -1145/108/1925th
James CookRBReceptions2.5+124 / -1663/107/1924th
Khalil ShakirWRAnytime TD+3301/104/1822% to score7th
Khalil ShakirWRRec Yards36.5-114 / -1145/1011/1815th
DJ MooreWRAnytime TD+2805/107/2127% to score7th
DJ MooreWRRec Yards47.5-114 / -1145/108/2115th
Keon ColemanWRAnytime TD+6003/105/1621% to score7th
Joshua PalmerWRAnytime TD+9000/100/1411% to score7th
Khalil ShakirWRReceptions3.5-130 / -1027/1013/182nd
DJ MooreWRReceptions3.5-130 / -1025/1010/212nd
Skyler BellWRAnytime TD+16007th
Dalton KincaidTEAnytime TD+3204/107/1522% to score25th
Dalton KincaidTERec Yards38.5-114 / -1145/107/156th
Dawson KnoxTEAnytime TD+6502/104/2016% to score25th
Dawson KnoxTERec Yards14.5-114 / -1149/1016/206th
Dalton KincaidTEReceptions3.5-102 / -1304/107/1516th
Jackson HawesTEAnytime TD+11001/103/228% to score25th
Dawson KnoxTEReceptions1.5-114 / -1148/1012/2016th

Texans player props

PlayerPosMarketLineOver / UnderLast 102025ModelOpp rank
C.J. StroudQBPass TDs1.5+124 / -1663/105/1714th
C.J. StroudQBPass Yards218.5-114 / -1145/108/172nd
C.J. StroudQBRush Yards10.5-114 / -1143/109/1717th
C.J. StroudQBAnytime TD+9001/101/1713% to score22nd
Woody MarksRBAnytime TD+2403/106/2128% to score27th
Woody MarksRBRush Yards29.5-114 / -1149/1012/2122nd
David MontgomeryRBAnytime TD-1204/107/1732% to score27th
David MontgomeryRBRush Yards53.5-114 / -1142/105/1722nd
Woody MarksRBRec Yards9.5-114 / -1142/107/218th
David MontgomeryRBRec Yards8.5-114 / -1147/1011/178th
British BrooksRBAnytime TD+30000/101/206% to score27th
David MontgomeryRBReceptions1.5-122 / -1084/107/1710th
Nico CollinsWRAnytime TD+1603/107/1732% to score11th
Nico CollinsWRRec Yards69.5-114 / -1146/108/175th
Kayshon BoutteWRAnytime TD+3902/106/1920% to score11th
Kayshon BoutteWRRec Yards22.5-114 / -1145/1011/195th
Xavier HutchinsonWRAnytime TD+3600/102/2216% to score11th
Xavier HutchinsonWRRec Yards19.5-114 / -1146/1011/225th
Nico CollinsWRReceptions5.5+102 / -1363/104/178th
Jaylin NoelWRAnytime TD+5501/102/2112% to score11th
Xavier HutchinsonWRReceptions2.5+134 / -1803/107/228th
Kayshon BoutteWRReceptions1.5-158 / +1185/1011/198th
Dalton SchultzTEAnytime TD+3202/103/1922% to score19th
Dalton SchultzTERec Yards32.5-114 / -1146/1011/192nd
Cade StoverTEAnytime TD+20000/100/1210% to score19th
Dalton SchultzTEReceptions3.5-130 / -1025/1011/191st
Foster MoreauTEAnytime TD+100019th
Marlin KleinTEAnytime TD+200019th

Injury Designations (through Sep 8)

Bills

  • Phidarian Mathis DT · Reserve-Sus
  • Tyrell Shavers WR · PUP-R
  • Dorian Strong CB · NFI-R
  • Zane Durant DT · IR-R

Texans

  • Ali Gaye DE · IR
  • Braden Smith OT · IR
  • Dylan Horton DE · IR
  • Graham Mertz QB · IR
  • Jayden Higgins WR · IR
  • K.C. Ossai LB · IR
  • Kyonte Hamilton DT · IR
  • Sam Hagen G · IR
  • Solomon Byrd DE · IR
  • E.J. Speed LB · PUP-R
  • M.J. Stewart S · PUP-R
  • Ja'Marcus Ingram CB · IR-R

Offensive Profile (2025 season, through Week 18)

Per gameBillsTexans
Plays per game61.2 (8)62.2 (5)
Pass rate47.6% (31)55.1% (14)
Yards per game393.6341.6
Yards per play6.45.5
Pass attempts29.1 (25)34.2 (9)
Rush attempts32.1 (1)27.9 (12)
Targets per game28.1 (24)32.5 (7)
Offensive TDs3.5 (2)1.9 (26)

Ranks in parentheses are of 32 teams.

Defensive Matchup (2025 season, opponent-adjusted)

Rank 1 = toughest of 32 against that position and market, through Week 18.

Bills defense

  • vs quarterbacks: 2nd in passing yards allowed (one of the tougher), 14th in passing touchdowns allowed, 10th in interceptions forced (one of the tougher), 17th in rushing yards allowed, 22nd in touchdowns allowed (one of the more generous)
  • vs running backs: 22nd in rushing yards allowed (one of the more generous), 10th in receptions allowed (one of the tougher), 8th in receiving yards allowed (one of the tougher), 27th in touchdowns allowed (one of the more generous)
  • vs wide receivers: 5th in receiving yards allowed (one of the tougher), 8th in receptions allowed (one of the tougher), 11th in touchdowns allowed
  • vs tight ends: 2nd in receiving yards allowed (one of the tougher), 1st in receptions allowed (one of the tougher), 19th in touchdowns allowed

Texans defense

  • vs quarterbacks: 14th in passing yards allowed, 15th in passing touchdowns allowed, 5th in interceptions forced (one of the tougher), 27th in rushing yards allowed (one of the more generous), 6th in touchdowns allowed (one of the tougher)
  • vs running backs: 4th in rushing yards allowed (one of the tougher), 24th in receptions allowed (one of the more generous), 25th in receiving yards allowed (one of the more generous), 12th in touchdowns allowed
  • vs wide receivers: 15th in receiving yards allowed, 2nd in receptions allowed (one of the tougher), 7th in touchdowns allowed (one of the tougher)
  • vs tight ends: 6th in receiving yards allowed (one of the tougher), 16th in receptions allowed, 25th in touchdowns allowed (one of the more generous)

Full defense-vs-position rankings →

Key Players

Bills

  • Josh Allen QB · 3668 pass yds, 25 TD, 10 INT (2025, 16 games)
  • James Cook RB · 1621 rush yds, 12 TD, 33 rec (2025, 17 games)
  • Ty Johnson RB · 200 rush yds, 3 TD, 24 rec (2025, 17 games)
  • DJ Moore WR · 50 rec, 682 yds, 6 TD (2025, 17 games)
  • Khalil Shakir WR · 72 rec, 719 yds, 4 TD (2025, 16 games)
  • Keon Coleman WR · 38 rec, 404 yds, 4 TD (2025, 12 games)
  • Dawson Knox TE · 36 rec, 417 yds, 4 TD (2025, 16 games)

Texans

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